{"data":{"aliases":["Naugatuck Valley","Naugatuck Valley Planning Region"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"5e67bd7e-abbf-4bbe-bcd9-38569de978fe","jurisdictionCode":"CT-NAUGATUCK-VALLEY-PLANNING-REGION","jurisdictionName":"Naugatuck Valley Planning Region","jurisdictionTag":"county:09140","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Naugatuck Valley Planning Region","rowCount":19,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.409675722817026,"demAverageDropoff":-1.258073684210526,"harrisCorrelation":0.6550787395782193,"repAverageDropoff":4.800068421052631,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":19,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.2717,"state":"CT","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -1.26%, REP 4.80%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"7f1f6707-18d9-4770-b48e-852d15d3705b","jurisdictionCode":"CT-NAUGATUCK-VALLEY-PLANNING-REGION","jurisdictionName":"Naugatuck Valley Planning Region","jurisdictionTag":"county:09140","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Naugatuck Valley Planning Region","rowCount":19,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.409675722817026,"demAverageDropoff":-1.258073684210526,"harrisCorrelation":0.6550787395782193,"repAverageDropoff":4.800068421052631,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":19,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.2717,"state":"CT","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.410, Harris r=0.655.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":["Connecticut uses current planning-region county-equivalent FIPS. Historical profile rows are reproducible aggregates of official town results to those regions."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit. All 169 towns and 12 presidential tickets, with exact printed statewide totals and exact current Census planning-region crosswalk metadata. These certified President rows supersede EMS version 80741 President values for active result and review calculations."},"displayName":"Naugatuck Valley Planning Region County","equipment":[],"fips":"09140","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ct-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":42.88,"demVotes":86541,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":10.21,"marginVotes":20609,"otherVotes":8116,"repSharePct":53.1,"repVotes":107150,"totalVotes":201807,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit."},"source":{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State; U.S. Census Bureau","category":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines","confidence":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit.","id":"ct-2024-ct-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/ng-app/data/election/1/5603/townVotes_Electiondata.json","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines"},"sourceLevel":"county_equivalent","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":47.97,"demVotes":107854,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":2.64,"marginVotes":5941,"otherVotes":3205,"repSharePct":50.61,"repVotes":113795,"totalVotes":224854,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit."},"source":{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State; U.S. Census Bureau","category":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines","confidence":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit.","id":"ct-2024-ct-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/ng-app/data/election/54/64824/townVotes_Electiondata.json","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines"},"sourceLevel":"county_equivalent","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":45.61,"demVotes":99263,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":7.37,"marginVotes":16037,"otherVotes":3060,"repSharePct":52.98,"repVotes":115300,"totalVotes":217623,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["All 169 towns and 12 presidential tickets, with exact printed statewide totals and exact current Census planning-region crosswalk metadata. These certified President rows supersede EMS version 80741 President values for active result and review calculations."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"All 169 towns and 12 presidential tickets, with exact printed statewide totals and exact current Census planning-region crosswalk metadata. These certified President rows supersede EMS version 80741 President values for active result and review calculations."},"source":{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State","category":"Normalized certified 2024 Connecticut Statement of Vote town presidential rows","confidence":"All 169 towns and 12 presidential tickets, with exact printed statewide totals and exact current Census planning-region crosswalk metadata. These certified President rows supersede EMS version 80741 President values for active result and review calculations.","id":"ct-2024-ct-2024-statement-of-vote-president-town","sourceUrl":"https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/sots/electionservices/statementofvote_pdfs/2024_statement_of_vote.pdf?hash=27BE5012F5EF0B6BBF37B2A9242B54A2&rev=21871844f0be463886b823b12e6a442e","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized certified 2024 Connecticut Statement of Vote town presidential rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:09140","sources":[{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State; U.S. Census Bureau","category":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines","confidence":"Eighteen current-geography county-equivalent rows: nine each for 2016 and 2020, tagged county:09110 through county:09190. Each year reconciles exactly from 169 town rows to EMS stateVotes totals. Planning regions are a current comparison geography, not the historical election reporting unit.","id":"ct-2024-ct-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/ng-app/data/election/54/64824/townVotes_Electiondata.json","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized official 2016 and 2020 Connecticut presidential planning-region baselines"},{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State","category":"Normalized certified 2024 Connecticut Statement of Vote town presidential rows","confidence":"All 169 towns and 12 presidential tickets, with exact printed statewide totals and exact current Census planning-region crosswalk metadata. These certified President rows supersede EMS version 80741 President values for active result and review calculations.","id":"ct-2024-ct-2024-statement-of-vote-president-town","sourceUrl":"https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/sots/electionservices/statementofvote_pdfs/2024_statement_of_vote.pdf?hash=27BE5012F5EF0B6BBF37B2A9242B54A2&rev=21871844f0be463886b823b12e6a442e","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized certified 2024 Connecticut Statement of Vote town presidential rows"},{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State","category":"Official Connecticut EMS static JSON town result and turnout package","confidence":"Official EMS town-level static JSON retained for 169 same-grain U.S. Senate comparison rows and 169 EMS town turnout rows. Its President values are superseded in active 2024 result and review calculations by the normalized certified Statement of Vote town rows, which contain 265 additional presidential votes.","id":"ct-2024-ct-2024-ems-election-91-version-80741","sourceUrl":"https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/ng-app/data/election/91/80741/townVotes_Electiondata.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official Connecticut EMS static JSON town result and turnout package"}],"state":"CT","stateName":"Connecticut","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":221031,"confidence":{"level":"partial","label":"Partial coverage","shortLabel":"Partial","description":"An official row is available, but a field, jurisdiction, candidate total, or reconciliation item remains incomplete.","caveat":"The source marks this turnout denominator as warning-required; read the denominator note before comparing rates."},"denominatorNotes":["emsReported"],"level":"aggregate of town rows","registeredVoters":290256,"rowCount":19,"source":{"authority":"Connecticut Secretary of the State","category":"Official Connecticut EMS static JSON town result and turnout package","confidence":"Official EMS town-level static JSON retained for 169 same-grain U.S. Senate comparison rows and 169 EMS town turnout rows. Its President values are superseded in active 2024 result and review calculations by the normalized certified Statement of Vote town rows, which contain 265 additional presidential votes.","id":"ct-2024-ct-2024-ems-election-91-version-80741","sourceUrl":"https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/ng-app/data/election/91/80741/townVotes_Electiondata.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official Connecticut EMS static JSON town result and turnout package"},"turnoutPct":76.15,"warningRequired":true,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:55:42.799Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"09140"}}