{"data":{"aliases":["Marshall"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"101565a7-7ca0-46b8-9c25-d647256ebb78","jurisdictionCode":"IA-MARSHALL","jurisdictionName":"Marshall","jurisdictionTag":"county:19127","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Marshall","rowCount":11,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.5558142984162574,"demAverageDropoff":2.6237363636363638,"harrisCorrelation":0.8517630839340591,"repAverageDropoff":1.296418181818182,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":11,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.7455,"state":"IA","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 2.62%, REP 1.30%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"7681f917-b3af-4657-8361-b90f3ff776ad","jurisdictionCode":"IA-MARSHALL","jurisdictionName":"Marshall","jurisdictionTag":"county:19127","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Marshall","rowCount":11,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.5558142984162574,"demAverageDropoff":2.6237363636363638,"harrisCorrelation":0.8517630839340591,"repAverageDropoff":1.296418181818182,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":11,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.7455,"state":"IA","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.556, Harris r=0.852.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results. Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. Each detail.xml contains precinct-level President, U.S. House, and turnout rows for that county."},"displayName":"Marshall County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"3c095e21-066c-44d3-839d-4f922c21ac39","jurisdictionCode":"IA-127","jurisdictionName":"Marshall County","jurisdictionTag":"county:19127","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":15,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":11,"registeredVoters":22017,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"ia-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ia-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"IA","systemName":"Unisyn OpenElect OVI +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Unisyn","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"19127","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ia-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":42.56,"demVotes":7652,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":8.31,"marginVotes":1494,"otherVotes":1182,"repSharePct":50.87,"repVotes":9146,"totalVotes":17980,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":41.31,"demVotes":7134,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":15.52,"marginVotes":2681,"otherVotes":321,"repSharePct":56.83,"repVotes":9815,"totalVotes":17270,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"Iowa Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 county detail XML result reports","confidence":"Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Each detail.xml contains precinct-level President, U.S. House, and turnout rows for that county.","id":"ia-2024-ia-2024-county-detailxml-reports","sourceUrl":"https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/122322/web.345435/","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 county detail XML result reports"},"turnoutPct":null,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:57:36.272Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"19127"}}