{"data":{"aliases":["Muscatine"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"ae2fb773-ca54-4b04-99c5-056ea7735927","jurisdictionCode":"IA-MUSCATINE","jurisdictionName":"Muscatine","jurisdictionTag":"county:19139","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Muscatine","rowCount":25,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.06723911522283922,"demAverageDropoff":-4.8765600000000004,"harrisCorrelation":0.5881378394952449,"repAverageDropoff":5.314868000000001,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":25,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.3378,"state":"IA","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -4.88%, REP 5.31%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"ced2cb86-6d94-4901-b4b7-8005cdbeed99","jurisdictionCode":"IA-MUSCATINE","jurisdictionName":"Muscatine","jurisdictionTag":"county:19139","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Muscatine","rowCount":25,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.06723911522283922,"demAverageDropoff":-4.8765600000000004,"harrisCorrelation":0.5881378394952449,"repAverageDropoff":5.314868000000001,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":25,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.3378,"state":"IA","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.067, Harris r=0.588.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results. Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. Each detail.xml contains precinct-level President, U.S. House, and turnout rows for that county."},"displayName":"Muscatine County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"9ed6e141-b5f6-44be-8f4c-f8fe8787582e","jurisdictionCode":"IA-139","jurisdictionName":"Muscatine County","jurisdictionTag":"county:19139","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":25,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":25,"registeredVoters":25462,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"ia-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ia-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"IA","systemName":"ES&S ExpressVote +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"ES&S","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"19139","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ia-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":43.06,"demVotes":8368,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":6.26,"marginVotes":1216,"otherVotes":1482,"repSharePct":49.32,"repVotes":9584,"totalVotes":19434,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":41.58,"demVotes":8212,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":14.88,"marginVotes":2940,"otherVotes":388,"repSharePct":56.46,"repVotes":11152,"totalVotes":19752,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"Iowa Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 county detail XML result reports","confidence":"Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"ia-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ia-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier IA 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"IA","stateName":"Iowa","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":19873,"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"25 same-county turnout rows were aggregated for this profile."},"denominatorNotes":["officialCountyReport"],"level":"aggregate of precinct rows","registeredVoters":29190,"rowCount":25,"source":{"authority":"Iowa Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 county detail XML result reports","confidence":"Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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