{"data":{"aliases":["Warren"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"4fcb4ce2-3c8a-46b9-af71-37dce9e319a1","jurisdictionCode":"IA-WARREN","jurisdictionName":"Warren","jurisdictionTag":"county:19181","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Warren","rowCount":40,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.39559746427482945,"demAverageDropoff":-4.522657499999999,"harrisCorrelation":0.7357194294119935,"repAverageDropoff":5.370335000000001,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":40,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.7872,"state":"IA","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -4.52%, REP 5.37%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"1eae37c2-a3d7-4c56-8a22-0ad7d662a75c","jurisdictionCode":"IA-WARREN","jurisdictionName":"Warren","jurisdictionTag":"county:19181","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Warren","rowCount":40,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.39559746427482945,"demAverageDropoff":-4.522657499999999,"harrisCorrelation":0.7357194294119935,"repAverageDropoff":5.370335000000001,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsUSHouse","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":40,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.7872,"state":"IA","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.396, Harris r=0.736.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results. Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":40,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":40,"registeredVoters":37635,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"ia-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ia-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/19","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"IA","systemName":"Unisyn OpenElect OVI-VC +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Unisyn","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"19181","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ia-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":38.14,"demVotes":10411,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":16.13,"marginVotes":4403,"otherVotes":2075,"repSharePct":54.26,"repVotes":14814,"totalVotes":27300,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":38.75,"demVotes":12712,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":20.65,"marginVotes":6774,"otherVotes":606,"repSharePct":59.4,"repVotes":19486,"totalVotes":32804,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.","id":"ia-2024-ia-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Iowa","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"Iowa Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 county detail XML result reports","confidence":"Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. 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