{"data":{"aliases":["Belknap"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"107e7d5e-7eac-4378-bd13-98cffe51722e","jurisdictionCode":"NH-BELKNAP","jurisdictionName":"Belknap","jurisdictionTag":"county:33001","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Belknap","rowCount":16,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.3980074435070509,"demAverageDropoff":-3.2136062500000007,"harrisCorrelation":-0.03468706110197115,"repAverageDropoff":4.1206,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsHouseDistrict","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":16,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.1975,"state":"NH","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -3.21%, REP 4.12%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"e9604e80-500b-4156-aea1-7828604e7aac","jurisdictionCode":"NH-BELKNAP","jurisdictionName":"Belknap","jurisdictionTag":"county:33001","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Belknap","rowCount":16,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.3980074435070509,"demAverageDropoff":-3.2136062500000007,"harrisCorrelation":-0.03468706110197115,"repAverageDropoff":4.1206,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsHouseDistrict","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":16,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.1975,"state":"NH","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.398, Harris r=-0.035.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."},"displayName":"Belknap County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Hand Counted Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["tabulation reports multiple values: Hand Count and Optical Scan","polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Hand Count and Optical Scan","id":"b6121aeb-b04a-4698-92aa-c6dd1cd6c0cd","jurisdictionCode":"NH-001","jurisdictionName":"Belknap County","jurisdictionTag":"county:33001","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/33","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. tabulation reports multiple values: Hand Count and Optical Scan; polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["tabulation reports multiple values: Hand Count and Optical Scan","polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":16,"pollBookSystem":"Paper Poll Book","precincts":16,"registeredVoters":48928,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"nh-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nh-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/33","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NH","systemName":"Democracy Live OmniBallot Tablet +","tabulation":"Hand Count and Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. tabulation reports multiple values: Hand Count and Optical Scan; polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"VotingWorks","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. tabulation reports multiple values: Hand Count and Optical Scan; polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"33001","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"nh-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":38.57,"demVotes":13517,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":16.54,"marginVotes":5798,"otherVotes":2213,"repSharePct":55.11,"repVotes":19315,"totalVotes":35045,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced."},"source":{"authority":"New Hampshire Secretary of State","category":"Official archived 2016 and 2020 general election county presidential historical baseline package","confidence":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced.","id":"nh-2024-nh-2016-official-historical-presidential-workbooks","sourceUrl":"https://web.archive.org/web/20231127033944id_/https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2020%20GE%20Election%20Tallies/2020-president.xls","status":"loaded","title":"Official archived 2016 and 2020 general election county presidential historical baseline package"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":42.95,"demVotes":17469,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":13.02,"marginVotes":5296,"otherVotes":442,"repSharePct":55.97,"repVotes":22765,"totalVotes":40676,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."},"source":{"authority":"New Hampshire Secretary of State","category":"Normalized 2024 general election President, Governor, U.S. House, turnout, and checklist town/ward CSV","confidence":"Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat.","id":"nh-2024-nh-2024-town-ward-president-governor","sourceUrl":"https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized 2024 general election President, Governor, U.S. House, turnout, and checklist town/ward CSV"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:33001","sources":[{"authority":"New Hampshire Secretary of State","category":"Official archived 2016 and 2020 general election county presidential historical baseline package","confidence":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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