{"data":{"aliases":["Strafford"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"5976d464-4eab-4df6-9e59-64a243bfe3bf","jurisdictionCode":"NH-STRAFFORD","jurisdictionName":"Strafford","jurisdictionTag":"county:33017","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Strafford","rowCount":27,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.2208519025882127,"demAverageDropoff":-3.1554222222222226,"harrisCorrelation":0.5395346097143676,"repAverageDropoff":4.012407407407408,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsHouseDistrict","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":27,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.5477,"state":"NH","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -3.16%, REP 4.01%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"ca075e45-2ae5-43ef-9475-144b6cc56558","jurisdictionCode":"NH-STRAFFORD","jurisdictionName":"Strafford","jurisdictionTag":"county:33017","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Strafford","rowCount":27,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.2208519025882127,"demAverageDropoff":-3.1554222222222226,"harrisCorrelation":0.5395346097143676,"repAverageDropoff":4.012407407407408,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsHouseDistrict","directionalScreenReason":"U.S. House races are district- and candidate-specific controls","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":27,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.5477,"state":"NH","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.221, Harris r=0.540.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."},"displayName":"Strafford County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Hand-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"e3b2d585-88fd-4f48-8629-ffcb9c7595e3","jurisdictionCode":"NH-017","jurisdictionName":"Strafford County","jurisdictionTag":"county:33017","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/33","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":27,"pollBookSystem":"Commercial Electronic Poll Book","precincts":27,"registeredVoters":96552,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"nh-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nh-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/33","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NH","systemName":"Democracy Live OmniBallot Tablet +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Premier (Diebold)","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"33017","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"nh-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":50.57,"demVotes":34894,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":8.44,"marginVotes":5822,"otherVotes":5034,"repSharePct":42.13,"repVotes":29072,"totalVotes":69000,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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The committed source package includes archived SOS President and presidential-write-in workbooks, and the normalized CSV carries FIPS-based county jurisdiction_tag values. 2012 official historical workbook sets remain blocked by SOS access/CDX availability and are not silently replaced.","id":"nh-2024-nh-2016-official-historical-presidential-workbooks","sourceUrl":"https://web.archive.org/web/20231127033944id_/https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2020%20GE%20Election%20Tallies/2020-president.xls","status":"loaded","title":"Official archived 2016 and 2020 general election county presidential historical baseline package"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":55.25,"demVotes":42373,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":12.01,"marginVotes":9211,"otherVotes":1153,"repSharePct":43.24,"repVotes":33162,"totalVotes":76688,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat."},"source":{"authority":"New Hampshire Secretary of State","category":"Normalized 2024 general election President, Governor, U.S. House, turnout, and checklist town/ward CSV","confidence":"Deterministic normalization of official workbook sheets; President and Governor workbook totals reconcile to summary sheets, U.S. House rows are same-grain district comparisons, and state-native turnout/checklist rows are included with a one-vote ballots-cast summary/detail caveat.","id":"nh-2024-nh-2024-town-ward-president-governor","sourceUrl":"https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized 2024 general election President, Governor, U.S. House, turnout, and checklist town/ward CSV"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:33017","sources":[{"authority":"New Hampshire Secretary of State","category":"Official archived 2016 and 2020 general election county presidential historical baseline package","confidence":"Official 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows generated by scripts/normalize-nh-historical-baseline.mjs. 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