{"data":{"aliases":["Essex"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"c5ba9f4d-42bc-4af6-a47c-28ec807cb570","jurisdictionCode":"NY-ESSEX","jurisdictionName":"Essex","jurisdictionTag":"county:36031","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Essex","rowCount":33,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.38789700251693443,"demAverageDropoff":-2.050390909090909,"harrisCorrelation":0.7704975442739668,"repAverageDropoff":6.308342424242425,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":33,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":5.3556,"state":"NY","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -2.05%, REP 6.31%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"f5de4d4d-0174-4ecb-b4df-b599b4a20297","jurisdictionCode":"NY-ESSEX","jurisdictionName":"Essex","jurisdictionTag":"county:36031","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Essex","rowCount":33,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.38789700251693443,"demAverageDropoff":-2.050390909090909,"harrisCorrelation":0.7704975442739668,"repAverageDropoff":6.308342424242425,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":33,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":5.3556,"state":"NY","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.388, Harris r=0.770.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column. Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page."},"displayName":"Essex County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Hand-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"5883dced-efec-46f6-ba6f-741fa5017d7c","jurisdictionCode":"NY-031","jurisdictionName":"Essex County","jurisdictionTag":"county:36031","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/36","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":20,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":33,"registeredVoters":25816,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"ny-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ny-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/36","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NY","systemName":"Dominion ImageCast Evolution +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Dominion","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"36031","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ny-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":44.45,"demVotes":7762,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":1.12,"marginVotes":196,"otherVotes":1742,"repSharePct":45.57,"repVotes":7958,"totalVotes":17462,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column."},"source":{"authority":"New York State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column.","id":"ny-2024-ny-historical-presidential-official-pdfs","sourceUrl":"https://ny.elstats-staging.com/eng/files/serve/116","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":51.62,"demVotes":9950,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":5.02,"marginVotes":968,"otherVotes":344,"repSharePct":46.6,"repVotes":8982,"totalVotes":19276,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column."},"source":{"authority":"New York State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column.","id":"ny-2024-ny-historical-presidential-official-pdfs","sourceUrl":"https://ny.elstats-staging.com/eng/files/serve/128","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":49.31,"demVotes":9629,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":0.49,"marginVotes":96,"otherVotes":367,"repSharePct":48.81,"repVotes":9533,"totalVotes":19529,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page."},"source":{"authority":"New York State Board of Elections","category":"Official 2024 general election county presidential results","confidence":"Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-general-president","sourceUrl":"https://results.elections.ny.gov/document/476","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 general election county presidential results"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:36031","sources":[{"authority":"New York State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column.","id":"ny-2024-ny-historical-presidential-official-pdfs","sourceUrl":"https://ny.elstats-staging.com/eng/files/serve/128","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"New York State Board of Elections","category":"Official 2024 general election county presidential results","confidence":"Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-general-president","sourceUrl":"https://results.elections.ny.gov/document/476","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 general election county presidential results"},{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"ny-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ny-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/36","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier NY 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"NY","stateName":"New York","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":19709,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":27871,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":70.72,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:55:04.012Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"36031"}}