{"data":{"aliases":["Ulster"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"fdbfa316-f1be-4625-b465-c01a1056dad4","jurisdictionCode":"NY-ULSTER","jurisdictionName":"Ulster","jurisdictionTag":"county:36111","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Ulster","rowCount":165,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":9,"trumpCorrelation":0.6344718321641867,"demAverageDropoff":-2.5239612121212143,"harrisCorrelation":0.35393771755270537,"repAverageDropoff":4.015090909090906,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":165,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.8203,"state":"NY","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -2.52%, REP 4.02%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"7f30e5c6-0fb6-4f38-879e-6eac9713889a","jurisdictionCode":"NY-ULSTER","jurisdictionName":"Ulster","jurisdictionTag":"county:36111","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Ulster","rowCount":165,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":9,"trumpCorrelation":0.6344718321641867,"demAverageDropoff":-2.5239612121212143,"harrisCorrelation":0.35393771755270537,"repAverageDropoff":4.015090909090906,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":165,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.8203,"state":"NY","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.634, Harris r=0.354.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column. Normalized county CSV extracted from official PDF text and cross-checked against the statewide candidate totals shown on the NYSBOE archive contest/document page."},"displayName":"Ulster County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"6eda6f61-4fa4-4dfa-b19f-88775967df43","jurisdictionCode":"NY-111","jurisdictionName":"Ulster County","jurisdictionTag":"county:36111","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/36","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":80,"pollBookSystem":"Commercial Electronic Poll Book","precincts":165,"registeredVoters":130357,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"ny-2024-verified-voting-verifier-ny-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/36","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NY","systemName":"Hart InterCivic Verity Touch Writer +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Hart InterCivic","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"36111","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"ny-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":51.25,"demVotes":44597,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":10.75,"marginVotes":9358,"otherVotes":7187,"repSharePct":40.49,"repVotes":35239,"totalVotes":87023,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 2020 uses the presidential table write-in column."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official county historical presidential baselines used for context only. 2012 and 2016 other-vote totals include the separate NYSBOE official presidential write-in final total pages; 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Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. 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Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"ny-2024-ny-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":71.15,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:55:38.617Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"36111"}}