{"data":{"aliases":["Pender"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and the same-party comparison contest is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting and candidate or contest differences can explain the gap; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"4858bfa3-5dd4-484d-8d92-fccb62b847ec","jurisdictionCode":"NC-PENDER","jurisdictionName":"Pender","jurisdictionTag":"county:37141","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":18,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":8,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":-0.3684443224563849,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.5804874601852638,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-6.74115,"repAverageDropoff":13.733022222222221,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":18,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":11.1917,"state":"NC","summary":"Average President-vs-comparison difference crossed threshold: DEM -6.74%, REP 13.73%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Enough local result rows have unusually large presidential-versus-comparison-contest differences to pass the outlier-count threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"6129a9bf-b8db-41da-85a5-c43ca365756b","jurisdictionCode":"NC-PENDER","jurisdictionName":"Pender","jurisdictionTag":"county:37141","label":"Down-ballot outliers","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":18,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":8,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":-0.3684443224563849,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.5804874601852638,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-6.74115,"repAverageDropoff":13.733022222222221,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":18,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":11.1917,"state":"NC","summary":"Drop-off outlier count crossed threshold: DEM 0, REP 8, trigger 3.","type":"down_ballot_outliers"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the review threshold. Reporting-unit size, geography, demographics, and vote-method mix can explain the pattern; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"1097c459-8ff4-4065-954d-47026896463e","jurisdictionCode":"NC-PENDER","jurisdictionName":"Pender","jurisdictionTag":"county:37141","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":18,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":8,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":-0.3684443224563849,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.5804874601852638,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-6.74115,"repAverageDropoff":13.733022222222221,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":18,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":11.1917,"state":"NC","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Kamala Harris r=-0.368, Donald Trump r=0.580.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP. Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."},"displayName":"Pender County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"a8e8a32e-aed2-40b1-b9d7-f371b86b38a3","jurisdictionCode":"NC-141","jurisdictionName":"Pender County","jurisdictionTag":"county:37141","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":19,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":18,"registeredVoters":46286,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"nc-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nc-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NC","systemName":"ES&S ExpressVote +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"ES&S","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"37141","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"nc-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":33.54,"demVotes":9354,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":29.71,"marginVotes":8285,"otherVotes":892,"repSharePct":63.26,"repVotes":17639,"totalVotes":27885,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2016_11_08/results_pct_20161108.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":34.31,"demVotes":11723,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":29.95,"marginVotes":10233,"otherVotes":490,"repSharePct":64.26,"repVotes":21956,"totalVotes":34169,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2020_11_03/results_pct_20201103.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":32.02,"demVotes":12460,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":34.91,"marginVotes":13582,"otherVotes":407,"repSharePct":66.93,"repVotes":26042,"totalVotes":38909,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows","confidence":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-results-precinct-zip","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2024_11_05/results_pct_20241105.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:37141","sources":[{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2020_11_03/results_pct_20201103.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows","confidence":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-results-precinct-zip","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2024_11_05/results_pct_20241105.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows"},{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback county turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer North Carolina State Board of Elections turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"nc-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nc-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier NC 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"NC","stateName":"North Carolina","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":39163,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"The source marks this turnout denominator as warning-required; read the denominator note before comparing rates."},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":52117,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback county turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer North Carolina State Board of Elections turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":75.14,"warningRequired":true,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:56:09.032Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"37141"}}