{"data":{"aliases":["Surry"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and the same-party comparison contest is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting and candidate or contest differences can explain the gap; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"bf0dc4ed-b5bd-4d3b-be48-53c1d6d37b82","jurisdictionCode":"NC-SURRY","jurisdictionName":"Surry","jurisdictionTag":"county:37171","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":23,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":1,"repOutliers":22,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":0.7227840031024731,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.11814351492235502,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-11.714465217391302,"repAverageDropoff":18.513969565217394,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":23,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":18.9887,"state":"NC","summary":"Average President-vs-comparison difference crossed threshold: DEM -11.71%, REP 18.51%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Enough local result rows have unusually large presidential-versus-comparison-contest differences to pass the outlier-count threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"474a7202-0d2b-4c79-a9c7-1308acce134d","jurisdictionCode":"NC-SURRY","jurisdictionName":"Surry","jurisdictionTag":"county:37171","label":"Down-ballot outliers","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":23,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":1,"repOutliers":22,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":0.7227840031024731,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.11814351492235502,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-11.714465217391302,"repAverageDropoff":18.513969565217394,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":23,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":18.9887,"state":"NC","summary":"Drop-off outlier count crossed threshold: DEM 1, REP 22, trigger 3.","type":"down_ballot_outliers"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the review threshold. Reporting-unit size, geography, demographics, and vote-method mix can explain the pattern; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.","electionYear":2024,"id":"f3ae6457-cc91-463f-ae6a-8a320ac670cc","jurisdictionCode":"NC-SURRY","jurisdictionName":"Surry","jurisdictionTag":"county:37171","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"rowCount":23,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":1,"repOutliers":22,"auditContext":null,"demCandidate":"Kamala Harris","electionYear":2024,"repCandidate":"Donald Trump","demCorrelation":0.7227840031024731,"outlierTrigger":3,"repCorrelation":0.11814351492235502,"comparisonGrain":"local","comparisonContest":"","demAverageDropoff":-11.714465217391302,"repAverageDropoff":18.513969565217394,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsGovernor","directionalScreenReason":"Governor is a statewide executive race with candidate-specific ticket splitting; corroborate with additional contests or historical baselines before inferring candidate benefit","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":23,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":18.9887,"state":"NC","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Kamala Harris r=0.723, Donald Trump r=0.118.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP. Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."},"displayName":"Surry County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"3ae90032-015d-4961-9899-76660da5cc5f","jurisdictionCode":"NC-171","jurisdictionName":"Surry County","jurisdictionTag":"county:37171","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":24,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":23,"registeredVoters":44969,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"nc-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nc-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"NC","systemName":"ES&S ExpressVote +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"ES&S","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"37171","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"nc-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":23.26,"demVotes":7488,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":50.26,"marginVotes":16183,"otherVotes":1037,"repSharePct":73.52,"repVotes":23671,"totalVotes":32196,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2016_11_08/results_pct_20161108.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":23.8,"demVotes":8721,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":51.36,"marginVotes":18817,"otherVotes":379,"repSharePct":75.16,"repVotes":27538,"totalVotes":36638,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."],"confidence":{"level":"derived","label":"Derived from official rows","shortLabel":"Derived","description":"The value is reproducibly aggregated, normalized, or calculated from official published rows.","caveat":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2020_11_03/results_pct_20201103.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":22.96,"demVotes":8613,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":53.19,"marginVotes":19952,"otherVotes":330,"repSharePct":76.16,"repVotes":28565,"totalVotes":37508,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag."},"source":{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows","confidence":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-results-precinct-zip","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2024_11_05/results_pct_20241105.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:37171","sources":[{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Historical county presidential baseline rows","confidence":"Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.","id":"nc-2020-nc-historical-presidential-results-zips","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2020_11_03/results_pct_20201103.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline rows"},{"authority":"North Carolina State Board of Elections","category":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows","confidence":"Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-results-precinct-zip","sourceUrl":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/ENRS/2024_11_05/results_pct_20241105.zip","status":"loaded","title":"Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows"},{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback county turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer North Carolina State Board of Elections turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"nc-2024-verified-voting-verifier-nc-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/37","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier NC 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"NC","stateName":"North Carolina","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":37754,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"The source marks this turnout denominator as warning-required; read the denominator note before comparing rates."},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":49366,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback county turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer North Carolina State Board of Elections turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"nc-2024-nc-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":76.48,"warningRequired":true,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:55:55.744Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"37171"}}