{"data":{"aliases":["Shelby"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"2fc256dd-76c1-46bc-bda3-2056b667a058","jurisdictionCode":"TN-SHELBY","jurisdictionName":"Shelby","jurisdictionTag":"county:47157","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Shelby","rowCount":142,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":8,"trumpCorrelation":0.8886801129727555,"demAverageDropoff":4.267128169014085,"harrisCorrelation":0.438063278203635,"repAverageDropoff":-0.6526260563380282,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":142,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.6727,"state":"TN","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 4.27%, REP -0.65%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"fdfb856a-f8d8-429a-8efc-e89928dc6514","jurisdictionCode":"TN-SHELBY","jurisdictionName":"Shelby","jurisdictionTag":"county:47157","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Shelby","rowCount":142,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":8,"trumpCorrelation":0.8886801129727555,"demAverageDropoff":4.267128169014085,"harrisCorrelation":0.438063278203635,"repAverageDropoff":-0.6526260563380282,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":142,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.6727,"state":"TN","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.889, Harris r=0.438.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected. County President rows reconcile to official Tennessee SOS totals: 1,966,865 Trump, 1,056,265 Harris, 40,812 Other, and 3,063,942 total presidential votes."},"displayName":"Shelby County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"991df852-8e22-4caf-bbf7-57da6272258e","jurisdictionCode":"TN-157","jurisdictionName":"Shelby County","jurisdictionTag":"county:47157","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/47","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":115,"pollBookSystem":"Commercial Electronic Poll Book","precincts":142,"registeredVoters":551692,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"tn-2024-verified-voting-verifier-tn-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/47","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"TN","systemName":"ES&S ExpressVote +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"ES&S","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"47157","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"tn-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":61.95,"demVotes":208992,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":27.46,"marginVotes":92648,"otherVotes":12047,"repSharePct":34.48,"repVotes":116344,"totalVotes":337383,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."},"source":{"authority":"Tennessee Secretary of State","category":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected.","id":"tn-2024-tn-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://sos-tn-gov-files.s3.amazonaws.com/PresidentbyCountyNov2016.pdf","status":"loaded","title":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":64.42,"demVotes":246105,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":30.44,"marginVotes":116290,"otherVotes":6135,"repSharePct":33.98,"repVotes":129815,"totalVotes":382055,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."},"source":{"authority":"Tennessee Secretary of State","category":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected.","id":"tn-2024-tn-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://sos-tn-gov-files.tnsosfiles.com/Nov%202020%20General%20by%20County.pdf","status":"loaded","title":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":61.8,"demVotes":201759,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":25.37,"marginVotes":82842,"otherVotes":5821,"repSharePct":36.42,"repVotes":118917,"totalVotes":326497,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["County President rows reconcile to official Tennessee SOS totals: 1,966,865 Trump, 1,056,265 Harris, 40,812 Other, and 3,063,942 total presidential votes."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"County President rows reconcile to official Tennessee SOS totals: 1,966,865 Trump, 1,056,265 Harris, 40,812 Other, and 3,063,942 total presidential votes."},"source":{"authority":"Tennessee Secretary of State","category":"Normalized official 2024 General Election President county results","confidence":"County President rows reconcile to official Tennessee SOS totals: 1,966,865 Trump, 1,056,265 Harris, 40,812 Other, and 3,063,942 total presidential votes.","id":"tn-2024-tn-2024-general-president-county","sourceUrl":"https://sos-prod.tnsosgovfiles.com/s3fs-public/document/20241105GeneralbyPrecinct.pdf","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized official 2024 General Election President county results"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:47157","sources":[{"authority":"Tennessee Secretary of State","category":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 95 Tennessee counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected.","id":"tn-2024-tn-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://sos-tn-gov-files.tnsosfiles.com/Nov%202020%20General%20by%20County.pdf","status":"loaded","title":"Official Tennessee 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},{"authority":"Tennessee Secretary of State","category":"Normalized official 2024 General Election President county results","confidence":"County President rows reconcile to official Tennessee SOS totals: 1,966,865 Trump, 1,056,265 Harris, 40,812 Other, and 3,063,942 total presidential votes.","id":"tn-2024-tn-2024-general-president-county","sourceUrl":"https://sos-prod.tnsosgovfiles.com/s3fs-public/document/20241105GeneralbyPrecinct.pdf","status":"loaded","title":"Normalized official 2024 General Election President county results"},{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"tn-2024-tn-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"tn-2024-verified-voting-verifier-tn-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/47","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier TN 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"TN","stateName":"Tennessee","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":329854,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":604353,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.","id":"tn-2024-tn-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":54.58,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:54:57.975Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"47157"}}