{"data":{"aliases":["Karnes"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"d984ebb3-2028-41ae-9bfd-295d4764802c","jurisdictionCode":"TX-KARNES","jurisdictionName":"Karnes","jurisdictionTag":"county:48255","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Karnes","rowCount":15,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.37444672116040734,"demAverageDropoff":-2.01502,"harrisCorrelation":0.8017067653178481,"repAverageDropoff":4.154446666666667,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":15,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.3678,"state":"TX","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -2.02%, REP 4.15%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"1fdbb9f9-61d7-4cd5-aba3-d134768b2592","jurisdictionCode":"TX-KARNES","jurisdictionName":"Karnes","jurisdictionTag":"county:48255","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Karnes","rowCount":15,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.37444672116040734,"demAverageDropoff":-2.01502,"harrisCorrelation":0.8017067653178481,"repAverageDropoff":4.154446666666667,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":15,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":4.3678,"state":"TX","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.374, Harris r=0.802.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data. Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact."},"displayName":"Karnes County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Hand-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"9863cb7b-0be4-4f4b-aca7-fc2fcc7ba082","jurisdictionCode":"TX-255","jurisdictionName":"Karnes County","jurisdictionTag":"county:48255","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/48","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. 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Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Hart InterCivic","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. 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Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data.","id":"tx-2024-tx-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":23.5,"demVotes":1234,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":52.06,"marginVotes":2734,"otherVotes":50,"repSharePct":75.55,"repVotes":3968,"totalVotes":5252,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. 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County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact.","id":"tx-2024-tx-2024-official-county-results","sourceUrl":"https://results.texas-election.com/static/data/election/49664/1012/County.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 general election county JSON results"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:48255","sources":[{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. 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Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"tx-2024-verified-voting-verifier-tx-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/48","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier TX 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"TX","stateName":"Texas","turnout":{"available":false,"ballotsCast":null,"confidence":{"level":"unavailable","label":"Unavailable","shortLabel":"Unavailable","description":"No comparable canonical county row is available for this data point.","caveat":"No 2024 turnout row is joined to county:48255."},"denominatorNotes":["No 2024 turnout row is joined to county:48255."],"level":"unavailable","registeredVoters":null,"rowCount":0,"source":null,"turnoutPct":null,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T19:55:01.628Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"48255"}}