{"data":{"aliases":["McCulloch"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"fbb8fb8b-01d4-4483-88f5-c9ccf6a39d32","jurisdictionCode":"TX-MCCULLOCH","jurisdictionName":"McCulloch","jurisdictionTag":"county:48307","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"McCulloch","rowCount":9,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.10591350740759538,"demAverageDropoff":-1.461688888888889,"harrisCorrelation":0.632074705156672,"repAverageDropoff":3.013533333333333,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":9,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.3127,"state":"TX","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM -1.46%, REP 3.01%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"efc376cb-4cf7-4c13-a397-0db136fd5027","jurisdictionCode":"TX-MCCULLOCH","jurisdictionName":"McCulloch","jurisdictionTag":"county:48307","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"McCulloch","rowCount":9,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":-0.10591350740759538,"demAverageDropoff":-1.461688888888889,"harrisCorrelation":0.632074705156672,"repAverageDropoff":3.013533333333333,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenate","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":9,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":3.3127,"state":"TX","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.106, Harris r=0.632.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data. Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact."},"displayName":"McCulloch County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Hand-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"b3a52d9c-cdec-444f-a934-37a1bd555a3a","jurisdictionCode":"TX-307","jurisdictionName":"McCulloch County","jurisdictionTag":"county:48307","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/48","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":7,"pollBookSystem":"Commercial Electronic Poll Book","precincts":4,"registeredVoters":4838,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"tx-2024-verified-voting-verifier-tx-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/48","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"TX","systemName":"Hart InterCivic Verity Touch Writer +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Hart InterCivic","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"48307","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"tx-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":15.53,"demVotes":482,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":66.71,"marginVotes":2070,"otherVotes":69,"repSharePct":82.24,"repVotes":2552,"totalVotes":3103,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data.","id":"tx-2024-tx-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":14.26,"demVotes":490,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":70.26,"marginVotes":2414,"otherVotes":42,"repSharePct":84.52,"repVotes":2904,"totalVotes":3436,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data."},"source":{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data.","id":"tx-2024-tx-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":12.95,"demVotes":455,"leader":"Republican","marginPct":73.38,"marginVotes":2578,"otherVotes":25,"repSharePct":86.34,"repVotes":3033,"totalVotes":3513,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact."},"source":{"authority":"Texas Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 general election county JSON results","confidence":"Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact.","id":"tx-2024-tx-2024-official-county-results","sourceUrl":"https://results.texas-election.com/static/data/election/49664/1012/County.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 general election county JSON results"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:48307","sources":[{"authority":"Wikipedia county presidential tables with state-source footnotes","category":"Historical county presidential baseline","confidence":"Contextual county-level historical baseline rows. Use for historical movement charts only; do not treat as 2024 certified result data.","id":"tx-2024-tx-historical-presidential-wikipedia-county","sourceUrl":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas","status":"loaded","title":"Historical county presidential baseline"},{"authority":"Texas Secretary of State","category":"Official 2024 general election county JSON results","confidence":"Official Texas Secretary of State hosted JSON package. County.json contains county-level race totals for President and U.S. Senate; precinct-level rows are not included in this artifact.","id":"tx-2024-tx-2024-official-county-results","sourceUrl":"https://results.texas-election.com/static/data/election/49664/1012/County.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official 2024 general election county JSON results"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"tx-2024-verified-voting-verifier-tx-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/48","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier TX 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"TX","stateName":"Texas","turnout":{"available":false,"ballotsCast":null,"confidence":{"level":"unavailable","label":"Unavailable","shortLabel":"Unavailable","description":"No comparable canonical county row is available for this data point.","caveat":"No 2024 turnout row is joined to county:48307."},"denominatorNotes":["No 2024 turnout row is joined to county:48307."],"level":"unavailable","registeredVoters":null,"rowCount":0,"source":null,"turnoutPct":null,"warningRequired":false,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:54:48.965Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"48307"}}