{"data":{"aliases":["Orange"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"936289b3-9492-4162-b820-e25b9a29cd88","jurisdictionCode":"VT-ORANGE","jurisdictionName":"Orange","jurisdictionTag":"county:50017","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Orange","rowCount":18,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":3,"trumpCorrelation":0.23833389060145832,"demAverageDropoff":0.3529499999999999,"harrisCorrelation":0.49464214226591624,"repAverageDropoff":1.223377777777778,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"presidentVsSenateTownDistrict","directionalScreenReason":"","directionalScreenConfidence":"standard","comparableDownBallotRowCount":18,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":0},"severity":2.025,"state":"VT","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.238, Harris r=0.495.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for county:<GEOID> flip joins. 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Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"50017","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"vt-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":51.48,"demVotes":7541,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":17.3,"marginVotes":2534,"otherVotes":2101,"repSharePct":34.18,"repVotes":5007,"totalVotes":14649,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for county:<GEOID> flip joins. Blanks and spoiled ballots remain excluded from candidate-vote historical baselines."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for county:<GEOID> flip joins. 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Blanks and spoiled ballots remain excluded from candidate-vote historical baselines.","id":"vt-2024-vt-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://electionarchive.vermont.gov/elections/download/144513/precincts_include:0/","status":"loaded","title":"Official Vermont 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":57.83,"demVotes":10220,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":20.01,"marginVotes":3537,"otherVotes":769,"repSharePct":37.82,"repVotes":6683,"totalVotes":17672,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Parser excludes the single STATE WIDE summary row and validates 283 town/reporting-district rows against the certified canvass statewide President and U.S. Senate totals."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Parser excludes the single STATE WIDE summary row and validates 283 town/reporting-district rows against the certified canvass statewide President and U.S. Senate totals."},"source":{"authority":"Vermont Secretary of State","category":"Official Vermont 2024 federal result JSON","confidence":"Parser excludes the single STATE WIDE summary row and validates 283 town/reporting-district rows against the certified canvass statewide President and U.S. Senate totals.","id":"vt-2024-vt-2024-static-general-federal","sourceUrl":"https://static.electionresults.vermont.gov/elections/67a35c79-05a2-4ae3-a77d-97812256188b-f-20260611153112.json","status":"loaded","title":"Official Vermont 2024 federal result JSON"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:50017","sources":[{"authority":"Vermont Secretary of State Elections Division","category":"Official Vermont 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for county:<GEOID> flip joins. 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Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"vt-2024-verified-voting-verifier-vt-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/50","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier VT 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"VT","stateName":"Vermont","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":624,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"The source marks this turnout denominator as warning-required; read the denominator note before comparing rates."},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":897,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Vermont SOS turnout JSON/PDF leads are retained separately because the SOS registered-voter denominator and EAC fallback totals still require replacement review.","id":"vt-2024-vt-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"loaded","title":"EAC fallback turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":69.57,"warningRequired":true,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:57:38.202Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"50017"}}