{"data":{"aliases":["Skagit"],"advisoryIndicators":[{"detail":"The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.","electionYear":2024,"id":"e6141032-75bb-4a7d-b82b-c94aa0e8bb4e","jurisdictionCode":"WA-SKAGIT","jurisdictionName":"Skagit","jurisdictionTag":"county:53057","label":"Average down-ballot difference","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Skagit","rowCount":119,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":6,"trumpCorrelation":0.21076550586991136,"demAverageDropoff":3.4238177966101713,"harrisCorrelation":0.5113681665563723,"repAverageDropoff":2.2626381355932206,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"mixed","directionalScreenReason":"mixed comparison modes are loaded in this scope","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":118,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":1},"severity":3.173,"state":"WA","summary":"Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 3.42%, REP 2.26%.","type":"average_down_ballot_difference"},{"detail":"Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.","electionYear":2024,"id":"3da13c11-35c6-4e78-8408-32322b30b08b","jurisdictionCode":"WA-SKAGIT","jurisdictionName":"Skagit","jurisdictionTag":"county:53057","label":"Vote-share pattern","level":"county","metrics":{"county":"Skagit","rowCount":119,"scopeType":"county","demOutliers":0,"repOutliers":0,"auditContext":null,"outlierTrigger":6,"trumpCorrelation":0.21076550586991136,"demAverageDropoff":3.4238177966101713,"harrisCorrelation":0.5113681665563723,"repAverageDropoff":2.2626381355932206,"denominatorContext":null,"comparisonCoverageMode":"mixed","directionalScreenReason":"mixed comparison modes are loaded in this scope","directionalScreenConfidence":"low","comparableDownBallotRowCount":118,"incomparableDownBallotRowCount":1},"severity":3.173,"state":"WA","summary":"Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.211, Harris r=0.511.","type":"vote_share_pattern"}],"caveats":[],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected. Official Washington Secretary of State county CSV; presidential totals reconcile to the official all-state CSV."},"displayName":"Skagit County","equipment":[{"absenteeSystem":"Batch-Fed Optical Scanners","accessibleSystem":"Ballot Marking Devices for all voters","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"electionYear":2024,"equipmentType":"Optical Scan","id":"c08cdb26-8812-41ea-811b-347670643d2c","jurisdictionCode":"WA-057","jurisdictionName":"Skagit County","jurisdictionTag":"county:53057","level":"county","metrics":{"caveat":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/53","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","sourceGranularity":"county","configurationSignals":["polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system","absentee system differs from standard polling-place system"],"uniformityWarningRequired":true},"paperRecord":"hand_marked_paper","pollingPlaces":1,"pollBookSystem":"In-House Electronic Poll Book","precincts":121,"registeredVoters":88818,"sourceGranularity":"county","sourceId":"wa-2024-verified-voting-verifier-wa-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/53","standardSystem":"Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility","state":"WA","systemName":"Hart InterCivic Verity Touch Writer +","tabulation":"Optical Scan","uniformityNote":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.","uniformityWarningRequired":true,"usage":"county_context","vendor":"Hart InterCivic","confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Verifier row is a county-level summary. polling-place system reports multiple values: Hand marked paper ballots, BMDs for accessibility; accessible voting system differs from standard polling-place system; absentee system differs from standard polling-place system. Do not infer every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup."}}],"fips":"53057","geographyLevel":"county","geometrySource":"wa-counties.geojson","history":[{"available":true,"demSharePct":47.69,"demVotes":26690,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":3.49,"marginVotes":1954,"otherVotes":4542,"repSharePct":44.2,"repVotes":24736,"totalVotes":55968,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Hillary Clinton","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."},"source":{"authority":"Washington Secretary of State","category":"Official Washington 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected.","id":"wa-2024-wa-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20161108/export/20161108_AllCounties.csv","status":"loaded","title":"Official Washington 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2016},{"available":true,"demSharePct":52.1,"demVotes":38252,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":7.48,"marginVotes":5490,"otherVotes":2409,"repSharePct":44.62,"repVotes":32762,"totalVotes":73423,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Joe Biden","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."],"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected."},"source":{"authority":"Washington Secretary of State","category":"Official Washington 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. Rows are contextual historical baselines used for county:<GEOID> flip joins; 2012 remains uncollected.","id":"wa-2024-wa-historical-presidential-baseline","sourceUrl":"https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20201103/export/20201103_AllCounties.csv","status":"loaded","title":"Official Washington 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2020},{"available":true,"demSharePct":52.6,"demVotes":36956,"leader":"Democratic","marginPct":8.81,"marginVotes":6191,"otherVotes":2535,"repSharePct":43.79,"repVotes":30765,"totalVotes":70256,"candidateLabels":{"dem":"Kamala Harris","rep":"Donald Trump"},"caveats":["Official Washington Secretary of State county CSV; presidential totals reconcile to the official all-state CSV."],"confidence":{"level":"exact","label":"Exact reported geography","shortLabel":"Exact","description":"The published row maps directly to the canonical county or county-equivalent geography.","caveat":"Official Washington Secretary of State county CSV; presidential totals reconcile to the official all-state CSV."},"source":{"authority":"Washington Secretary of State","category":"Official county presidential results","confidence":"Official Washington Secretary of State county CSV; presidential totals reconcile to the official all-state CSV.","id":"wa-2024-wa-2024-all-counties-csv","sourceUrl":"https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20241105/export/20241105_AllCounties.csv","status":"loaded","title":"Official county presidential results"},"sourceLevel":"county","year":2024}],"jurisdictionTag":"county:53057","sources":[{"authority":"Washington Secretary of State","category":"Official Washington 2016 and 2020 county presidential historical baseline rows","confidence":"Official county-level 2016 and 2020 presidential baseline rows for 39 Washington counties. 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Prefer Washington Secretary of State turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"wa-2024-wa-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},{"authority":"Verified Voting","category":"equipment_context","confidence":"Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.","id":"wa-2024-verified-voting-verifier-wa-2024-equipment","sourceUrl":"https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/navigate/map/voteEquip/mapType/ppEquip/year/2024/state/53","status":"loaded","title":"Verified Voting Verifier WA 2024 equipment context"}],"state":"WA","stateName":"Washington","turnout":{"available":true,"ballotsCast":70447,"confidence":{"level":"proxy","label":"Contextual proxy","shortLabel":"Proxy","description":"The value is contextual or supplemental and should not be treated as a silent replacement for an official certified total.","caveat":"The source marks this turnout denominator as warning-required; read the denominator note before comparing rates."},"denominatorNotes":["EAC-reported registered-voter denominator"],"level":"jurisdiction","registeredVoters":96874,"rowCount":1,"source":{"authority":"U.S. Election Assistance Commission","category":"EAC fallback county turnout rows","confidence":"National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer Washington Secretary of State turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.","id":"wa-2024-wa-2024-eac-turnout","sourceUrl":"https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports","status":"candidate","title":"EAC fallback county turnout rows"},"turnoutPct":72.72,"warningRequired":true,"year":2024},"voteMethods":[]},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-07-26T18:57:19.839Z","source":"database","releaseId":null,"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","caveat":"Advisory indicators are source-review prompts, not findings of fraud or misconduct.","contract":"county:<five-digit Census GEOID>","electionYears":[2016,2020,2024],"fips":"53057"}}