Arkansas · county
FIPS 05049county:05049ProxyAlso indexed as: Fulton
A permanent, source-linked view of the county's 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential history, turnout, election-administration context, and non-conclusive review signals.
Presidential results
| Year | Democratic | Republican | Other | Total | Winner / margin | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 1,067Hillary Clinton · 22.36% | 3,471Donald Trump · 72.74% | 234 | 4,772 | Republican +2,404 (50.38%) | Proxy | Historical county presidential baseline rows |
| 2020 | 1,035Joe Biden · 20.22% | 3,961Donald Trump · 77.38% | 123 | 5,119 | Republican +2,926 (57.16%) | Proxy | Historical county presidential baseline rows |
| 2024 | 906Kamala Harris · 17.97% | 4,040Donald Trump · 80.11% | 97 | 5,043 | Republican +3,134 (62.15%) | Exact | Official 2024 general election federal contest results |
“Other” includes all other loaded presidential candidates and write-ins. Margin is the absolute gap between the Democratic and Republican vote buckets, divided by all loaded presidential votes.
Participation
EAC-reported registered-voter denominator
EAC fallback turnout rowsAdministration context
No county-tagged vote-method rows are available.
Administration context
Equipment metadata is jurisdiction context only. It is not a vote or turnout row, does not prove or disprove an advisory signal, and does not guarantee every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.
| Vendor | System | Type / use | Paper record | Tabulation | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES&S | ES&S ExpressVote + | Optical Scan · county_context | not_recorded | Optical Scan | Proxy | Source |
Review context
These calculated indicators are prompts for checking source data, reporting grain, denominators, and local context. They are not evidence or findings of fraud, misconduct, or an incorrect election outcome.
Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 2.00%, REP 2.13%.
The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.
Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=-0.400, Harris r=0.650.
Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.
Traceability
Geometry registry artifact: ar-counties.geojson
Arkansas Secretary of State; secondary 2012 county table fallback
Mixed historical context package collected and configured for the generic historicalPresidentialCsv contract, but not enabled in native Arkansas staging until the shared native importer dispatch opts the Arkansas TotalResults parser into generic historical rows. 2016 and 2020 county baseline rows are official TotalResults API rows; 2012 rows are secondary contextual county rows because the official TotalResults 2012 archive endpoint was not script-readable.Open sourceArkansas Secretary of State
Official Arkansas Secretary of State TotalResults JSON package collected from the public results API. The statewide federal bucket contains county totals; county-scoped federal buckets expose subcounty reporting-unit IDs but not human-readable precinct names.Open sourceU.S. Election Assistance Commission
National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer state election office denominator artifacts when available; keep fallback caveats visible in the app.Open sourceVerified Voting
Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.Open source