A permanent, source-linked view of the county's 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential history, turnout, election-administration context, and non-conclusive review signals.
“Other” includes all other loaded presidential candidates and write-ins. Margin is the absolute gap between the Democratic and Republican vote buckets, divided by all loaded presidential votes.
Equipment metadata is jurisdiction context only. It is not a vote or turnout row, does not prove or disprove an advisory signal, and does not guarantee every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.
These calculated indicators are prompts for checking source data, reporting grain, denominators, and local context. They are not evidence or findings of fraud, misconduct, or an incorrect election outcome.
average down ballot difference · severity 4.41
Average down-ballot difference
Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 4.62%, REP 1.34%.
Calculation detail
The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.
Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.
Traceability
Sources and provenance
3 referenced sources
Canonical geography
Hardin County · county:19083
Geometry registry artifact: ia-counties.geojson
Historical county presidential baseline rows
Historical county presidential baseline rows
Wikipedia county presidential tables with state election office source footnotes
Secondary normalized historical baseline used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year page URL; use these rows as historical context, not as 2024 certified data or a replacement for official Iowa Secretary of State results.Open source Official 2024 county detail XML result reports
Official 2024 county detail XML result reports
Iowa Secretary of State
Official county-level Clarity report ZIPs. Each detail.xml contains precinct-level President, U.S. House, and turnout rows for that county.Open source equipment_context
Verified Voting Verifier IA 2024 equipment context
Verified Voting
Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.Open source