North Carolina · county
FIPS 37081county:37081DerivedAlso indexed as: Guilford
A permanent, source-linked view of the county's 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential history, turnout, election-administration context, and non-conclusive review signals.
Presidential results
| Year | Democratic | Republican | Other | Total | Winner / margin | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 149,248Hillary Clinton · 57.98% | 98,062Donald Trump · 38.10% | 10,095 | 257,405 | Democratic +51,186 (19.89%) | Derived | Historical county presidential baseline rows |
| 2020 | 173,086Joe Biden · 60.84% | 107,294Donald Trump · 37.72% | 4,106 | 284,486 | Democratic +65,792 (23.13%) | Derived | Historical county presidential baseline rows |
| 2024 | 171,118Kamala Harris · 60.03% | 109,077Donald Trump · 38.27% | 4,858 | 285,053 | Democratic +62,041 (21.76%) | Exact | Official precinct presidential and Governor review rows |
“Other” includes all other loaded presidential candidates and write-ins. Margin is the absolute gap between the Democratic and Republican vote buckets, divided by all loaded presidential votes.
Participation
EAC-reported registered-voter denominator
EAC fallback county turnout rowsAdministration context
No county-tagged vote-method rows are available.
Administration context
Equipment metadata is jurisdiction context only. It is not a vote or turnout row, does not prove or disprove an advisory signal, and does not guarantee every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.
| Vendor | System | Type / use | Paper record | Tabulation | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES&S | ES&S AutoMARK + | Optical Scan · county_context | hand_marked_paper | Optical Scan | Proxy | Source |
Review context
These calculated indicators are prompts for checking source data, reporting grain, denominators, and local context. They are not evidence or findings of fraud, misconduct, or an incorrect election outcome.
Average President-vs-comparison difference crossed threshold: DEM -7.02%, REP 12.61%.
The average gap between presidential votes and the same-party comparison contest is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting and candidate or contest differences can explain the gap; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.
Drop-off outlier count crossed threshold: DEM 12, REP 59, trigger 9.
Enough local result rows have unusually large presidential-versus-comparison-contest differences to pass the outlier-count threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of misconduct.
Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Kamala Harris r=0.612, Donald Trump r=0.769.
Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the review threshold. Reporting-unit size, geography, demographics, and vote-method mix can explain the pattern; this is an advisory flag, not proof of misconduct.
Traceability
Geometry registry artifact: nc-counties.geojson
North Carolina State Board of Elections
Official NCSBE precinct result exports aggregated to county historical presidential baseline rows. Use as historical context only; 2024 certified results continue to use the 2024 official result ZIP.Open sourceNorth Carolina State Board of Elections
Official North Carolina State Board of Elections precinct result export with contest, candidate party, vote-method columns, total votes, and Real Precinct flag.Open sourceU.S. Election Assistance Commission
National EAC fallback turnout rows. Prefer North Carolina State Board of Elections turnout-denominator artifacts if equal or finer official detail is later sourced.Open sourceVerified Voting
Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.Open source