Civic Result MapsCounty election profile

Pennsylvania · county

Northampton County

FIPS 42095county:42095Proxy

Also indexed as: Northampton

A permanent, source-linked view of the county's 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential history, turnout, election-administration context, and non-conclusive review signals.

Presidential results

2016–2024 county history

3 of 3 years available
YearDemocraticRepublicanOtherTotalWinner / marginConfidenceSource
201666,272Hillary Clinton · 46.18%71,736Donald Trump · 49.98%5,511143,519Republican +5,464 (3.81%)ProxyOfficial historical county presidential baseline rows from precinct bulk returns
202085,087Joe Biden · 49.78%83,854Donald Trump · 49.05%2,001170,942Democratic +1,233 (0.72%)ProxyOfficial historical county presidential baseline rows from precinct bulk returns
202486,655Kamala Harris · 48.62%89,817Donald Trump · 50.40%1,743178,215Republican +3,162 (1.77%)ExactOfficial precinct presidential and Senate returns

“Other” includes all other loaded presidential candidates and write-ins. Margin is the absolute gap between the Democratic and Republican vote buckets, divided by all loaded presidential votes.

Participation

2024 turnout context

Exact
Ballots cast
179,570
Registered voters
235,323
Reported/calculated rate
76.31%
Reporting grain
local

certifiedVoterRegistrationSummary

Official county turnout and registration summary

Administration context

Vote methods

Absentee UOCAVAExact
Voters
619
Share
0.34%
F1c ? reportedOpen source
In-person early votingUnavailable
Voters
Share
F1f ? Only 0 of 1 tagged source rows report this vote method.Open source
Mail votesExact
Voters
59,798
Share
33.30%
F1d ? reportedOpen source
Mail votes in vote-by-mail jurisdictionUnavailable
Voters
Share
F1g ? Only 0 of 1 tagged source rows report this vote method.Open source
Other participationUnavailable
Voters
Share
F1h ? Only 0 of 1 tagged source rows report this vote method.Open source
Physical polling placeExact
Voters
116,599
Share
64.93%
F1b ? reportedOpen source
Provisional ballotExact
Voters
2,554
Share
1.42%
F1e ? reportedOpen source

Administration context

Voting equipment

1 source-linked row

Equipment metadata is jurisdiction context only. It is not a vote or turnout row, does not prove or disprove an advisory signal, and does not guarantee every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.

VendorSystemType / usePaper recordTabulationConfidenceSource
ES&SES&S ExpressVote XL +BMD/Tabulator · county_contextnot_recordedBMD/TabulatorProxySource

Review context

Advisory indicators

2 matched indicators

These calculated indicators are prompts for checking source data, reporting grain, denominators, and local context. They are not evidence or findings of fraud, misconduct, or an incorrect election outcome.

average down ballot difference · severity 2.43

Average down-ballot difference

Average President-vs-down-ballot difference crossed threshold: DEM 1.17%, REP 2.48%.

Calculation detail

The average gap between presidential votes and same-party down-ballot votes is large enough to review. Split-ticket voting can explain some gap; this flag identifies areas needing supporting records.

vote share pattern · severity 2.43

Vote-share pattern

Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.418, Harris r=0.352.

Calculation detail

Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.

Traceability

Sources and provenance

5 referenced sources
Canonical geography

Northampton County · county:42095

Geometry registry artifact: pa-counties.geojson

Official historical county presidential baseline rows from precinct bulk returns

Official historical county presidential baseline rows from precinct bulk returns

Pennsylvania Department of State

Official Pennsylvania Department of State precinct election-return files aggregated to county presidential baselines. Historical rows are contextual baselines only; the official bulk rows do not include a separate write-in reconciliation artifact, so totals can differ from secondary certified-summary tables.Open source
Official precinct presidential and Senate returns

Official precinct presidential and Senate returns

Pennsylvania Department of State

Official Pennsylvania Department of State 2024 General Election Precinct Election Returns bulk file.Open source
Official county turnout and registration summary

Official county turnout and registration summary

Pennsylvania Department of State

Official county vote-history and registered-voter denominator workbook.Open source
equipment_context

Verified Voting Verifier PA 2024 equipment context

Verified Voting

Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.Open source
Vote-method context

U.S. EAC Election Administration and Voting Survey

Source authority is recorded in the state package

See the state source package for provenance and caveats.Open source