Civic Result MapsCounty election profile

Virginia · county

Stafford County

FIPS 51179county:51179Exact

Also indexed as: Stafford

A permanent, source-linked view of the county's 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential history, turnout, election-administration context, and non-conclusive review signals.

Presidential results

2016–2024 county history

3 of 3 years available
YearDemocraticRepublicanOtherTotalWinner / marginConfidenceSource
201627,908Hillary Clinton · 42.33%33,868Donald Trump · 51.37%4,15865,934Republican +5,960 (9.04%)ExactHistorical locality presidential baseline rows
202040,245Joe Biden · 50.54%37,636Donald Trump · 47.27%1,74479,625Democratic +2,609 (3.28%)ExactHistorical locality presidential baseline rows
202441,252Kamala Harris · 49.38%40,590Donald Trump · 48.59%1,69783,539Democratic +662 (0.79%)ExactOfficial presidential locality and precinct results

“Other” includes all other loaded presidential candidates and write-ins. Margin is the absolute gap between the Democratic and Republican vote buckets, divided by all loaded presidential votes.

Participation

2024 turnout context

Proxy
Ballots cast
83,924
Registered voters
119,297
Reported/calculated rate
70.35%
Reporting grain
aggregate of precinct rows

officialEnrFinal

Official ENR precinct turnout and registration rows

Administration context

Vote methods

No county-tagged vote-method rows are available.

Administration context

Voting equipment

1 source-linked row

Equipment metadata is jurisdiction context only. It is not a vote or turnout row, does not prove or disprove an advisory signal, and does not guarantee every precinct or ballot mode used one identical setup.

VendorSystemType / usePaper recordTabulationConfidenceSource
ES&SES&S ExpressVote +Optical Scan · county_contexthand_marked_paperOptical ScanProxySource

Review context

Advisory indicators

1 matched indicator

These calculated indicators are prompts for checking source data, reporting grain, denominators, and local context. They are not evidence or findings of fraud, misconduct, or an incorrect election outcome.

vote share pattern · severity 2.72

Vote-share pattern

Vote-share correlation crossed threshold: Trump r=0.670, Harris r=0.080.

Calculation detail

Bigger local reporting-unit vote totals move with candidate vote share strongly enough to pass the native review threshold. This is an advisory review flag, not proof of tampering.

Traceability

Sources and provenance

4 referenced sources
Canonical geography

Stafford County · county:51179

Geometry registry artifact: va-counties.geojson

Historical locality presidential baseline rows

Historical locality presidential baseline rows

Virginia Department of Elections, Virginia Elections Database

Official Virginia Department of Elections historical locality result exports used for context only. Individual rows carry the per-year contest URL. The 2016 locality rows sum 11 votes below the State row in minor/write-in/total scope while Clinton and Trump locality sums match the State row.Open source
Official presidential locality and precinct results

Official presidential locality and precinct results

Virginia Department of Elections

Official Virginia Department of Elections presidential contest export. Locality rows reconcile to the State row; precinct vote rows remain available, while review rows now use the official ENR all-results CSV for same-precinct U.S. Senate comparison.Open source
Official ENR precinct turnout and registration rows

Official ENR precinct turnout and registration rows

Virginia Department of Elections

Official precinct-level turnout and registered-voter rows with ActiveRegisteredVoters, InactiveRegisteredVoters, TotalRegisteredVoters, and TotalVoteTurnout. This replaces EAC fallback turnout for Virginia native ETL.Open source
equipment_context

Verified Voting Verifier VA 2024 equipment context

Verified Voting

Verified Voting Verifier data is jurisdiction-level election-administration context. Most rows are counties, but some states report state-level rows and some county rows can summarize mixed tabulation, accessible-device, absentee, poll-book, or other configurations. Treat it as source-linked context, not proof every precinct in a county used one identical setup, and not a turnout or vote-result source.Open source